Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004458 0.005022 0.005661 0.006444 0.007388 0.008500 0.009929
2026-01-04 0.003709 0.004430 0.005320 0.006523 0.008142 0.010310 0.013542
2026-01-11 0.003225 0.004000 0.005010 0.006468 0.008597 0.011734 0.017026
2026-01-18 0.002911 0.003716 0.004813 0.006483 0.009091 0.013280 0.021214
2026-01-25 0.002625 0.003424 0.004550 0.006336 0.009282 0.014363 0.025025
2026-02-01 0.002363 0.003133 0.004245 0.006067 0.009203 0.014936 0.028077
2026-02-08 0.002145 0.002882 0.003968 0.005795 0.009058 0.015335 0.030931
2026-02-15 0.002038 0.002782 0.003906 0.005863 0.009521 0.017049 0.037951
2026-02-22 0.001906 0.002632 0.003752 0.005748 0.009617 0.018011 0.043590
2026-03-01 0.001780 0.002483 0.003583 0.005584 0.009584 0.018672 0.048821
2026-03-08 0.001676 0.002360 0.003444 0.005459 0.009606 0.019474 0.055249
2026-03-15 0.001634 0.002330 0.003458 0.005615 0.010251 0.022086 0.071565
2026-03-22 0.001598 0.002313 0.003502 0.005856 0.011196 0.026114 0.102349
2026-03-29 0.001535 0.002249 0.003460 0.005924 0.011768 0.029408 0.138480
2026-04-05 0.001462 0.002163 0.003368 0.005877 0.012043 0.031908 0.178349
2026-04-12 0.001405 0.002097 0.003308 0.005889 0.012480 0.035303 0.243975
2026-04-19 0.001334 0.002005 0.003191 0.005761 0.012506 0.037134 0.305353
2026-04-26 0.001256 0.001895 0.003034 0.005525 0.012178 0.037319 0.346646
2026-05-03 0.001183 0.001792 0.002882 0.005286 0.011802 0.037146 0.385058
2026-05-10 0.001151 0.001759 0.002861 0.005346 0.012333 0.041677 0.597081
2026-05-17 0.001104 0.001694 0.002775 0.005245 0.012349 0.043671 0.793008
2026-05-24 0.001055 0.001625 0.002676 0.005101 0.012199 0.044718 0.999747
2026-05-31 0.001012 0.001566 0.002594 0.004991 0.012142 0.046331 1.342232